Wednesday, June 29, 2016

AFRICA POLITICAL OPPOSITION GROUPS IN LIMBO

The role of the opposition in democracies all over the world is to question the government of the day and to hold it accountable. Thus, opposition parties require space, freedoms, and opportunities to allow them time to prepare alternative programmes in readiness for the day they would take over.

Unfortunately in Africa, those in power are tenacious when it comes to dealing with opposition parties. They are unwilling to accommodate genuine demands, are averse to criticism, refuse to be advised, and look at alternative programmes as an aberration meant to conceal devious plans to dislodge them.

In an environment of inflexibility and suspicion such as this, opposition leaders find themselves languishing on the sidelines, many of them eventually dying without graduating to the executive office.

The first thing most African leaders do after assuming office is to find out what loopholes they can use to stay in power for as long as possible. They use all tricks in the "deceit manual." They steal votes, jail opponents on tramped-up charges; eliminate those who disagree with them, and spend sleepless nights figuring out how to disorganize and/or dismantle opposition groups.

Examples of such mischiefs are everywhere in the continent.

In Uganda, Warren Kizza Besigye of the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) has "lost" five consecutive elections to the cunning Yoweri Museveni since 2001. The former army officer and once Museveni's personal doctor is one politician who has spent more nights in police cells than any other in East Africa.

In Zimbabwe, Morgan Tsvangirai ran in two elections in 2002 and 2008 and "lost" both to Robert Mugabe. He too is a jail-bird having been arrested and beaten innumerable times. His many attempts to coax the 92-year old Uncle Bob to reliquish power have failed. Mugabe says anyone who wants his job must earn it through constitutional means.

In Togo, Jean-Pierre Fabre of the National Alliance for Change (ANC) "lost" to Faure Gnassingbe in 2010 and again in 2015. He has to wait another five years to try again.






In Kenya, Raila Amolo Odinga, one of most respected democracy champions in Africa will be making his fourth attempt at the presidency next year. A dynamic oppositionist like his late father, Oginga Odinga, Raila "lost" three elections in 1997, 2007, and 2013. Given his advanced age, 2017 will most likely be his last presidential contest. His chances this time around also appear rather cloudy.

Similar stories of opposition "losses" are told in many other African countries. In Ghana, Akuffo Addo of the New Patriotic Party (NPP)is struggling to unseat the incumbent John Mahama in the coming November elections. He "lost" in 2008 to John Atta Mills and in 2012 to Mahama. Addo is considered one of the most combative opposition leaders in Africa but even with his aggressiveness his chances of winning remain at best zero.

In the Democratic Republic of Congo - Moise Katumbi, currently on the run in South Africa after being convicted of "illegaly selling property," is another very frustrated opposition leader given that Joseph Kabila appears anxious to cling to power beyond his two constitutional terms.

Similar scenarios of opposition suppression exist in Sudan, Central African Republic, Comoros, Egypt, and so on. In Burundi opposition leaders have either been killed or fled after Pierre Nkurunzinza refused to step down when his mandatory two term limit ended last year. He called elections last July and "won"

Is there any hope for opposition parties in Africa, you may ask? My answer is: nop.

Oppositionists will continue to "lose" elections as long as incumbents refuse to relinquish power and use state resources to manipulate elections. They will lose because African presidents want to remain in office to continue looting public resources and appointing their wives and children to key positions as we are seeing in Uganda, Angola, Equatorial Guinea and other places.

Unless a level playing ground is thus created to enable them engage freely in politics, opposition groups in Africa face extinction. The only thing they can do is to wait and wait, and pray and pray.

And that is my say.


1 comment:

  1. In all these election'losses'-I believe the commercialization of the electoral process,primitive poverty of the voter{ready to auction his vote for less than a dollar and a "lost middle-class or elites'' are the core problems-the haves shall always have it -over the havenots-note too-that the vote or the voter has been reduced in its importance -other pillars that account for the real vote cast comes from the administration and the electroral bodies-the incumbents have these under them-and technically-each of the three pillars-administration.the electoral bodies and the voter contribute a third of the actual vote and in most case the voter amounts for less

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